How did Solyndra get a sweetheart interest rate?
And how did taxpayers take a back seat to an Obama bundler?
ABC News discovered that the solar-tech firm Solyndra got unusually low interest rates on its federally-guaranteed loans before it collapsed last month, sending 1000 workers to the unemployment line in California. Other green-tech firms receiving loans paid as much as three and four times the interest rate Solyndra secured for its $535 million from Barack [...]
CREDO Sends Letter Backing Up Schneiderman in Foreclosure Fraud Fight
Fed gave Wall Street $1.2 trillion in 2008 loans
Ugly.
As it turns out, the $700 billion TARP bailout in late 2008 was just an appetizer for Wall Street. Behind the scenes, the Federal Reserve gave out $1.2 trillion in loans to banks around the world, desperately attempting to maintain liquidity in a system that looked headed for collapse, according to Bloomberg News: Citigroup Inc. [...]
Wall Street Aristocracy Got $1.2 Trillion in Secret Fed Loans
PONZI | Fannie Mae Seeks $5.1 bln More from US Taxpayers
New York Attorney General Accuses Bank Of New York Mellon Of Fraud, Moves To Block Bank Of America’s Mortgage Deal
Fed to Wells: $7000 for Wrongful Foreclosure
Yesterday the Fed announced a settlement with Wells Fargo of claims that its subprime unit had 1) deliberately steered prime borrowers into higher-cost subprime mortgage refinancings and 2) falsified income documents to put subprime borrowers into unaffordable loans. The settlement provides for an $85 million fine, plus an elaborate claims-based compensation procedure for victims, who may number 10,000 or more. Notably, families who lost their home in foreclosure as a consequence of Wells Fargo's illegal steering are to receive $7,000 for the loss of their home. That should cover some moving costs and a month's rent or so. As far as I could tell the agreement does not provide for consumers to release claims in exchange for these paltry sums, but advocates would be well advised to review settlement notices with affected consumers carefully.
The Fed announcement touts this wrist-slap settlement as the largest consumer protection enforcement fine in its history. Ample evidence that consumer protection against financial institutions needs to be transferred to a real enforcement agency at the earliest.
Fannie Responds to Hawaii’s New Foreclosure Law – Says… WE’RE OUT!
If you’ve been following the goings on in Hawaii as related to SB 651, the state’s new foreclosure law that requires servicers foreclosing non-judicially to produce chain of title documents, including assignments and endorsements prior to scheduling mandatory dispute resolution in front of a mediator, here’s a piece of news you’ll want to hear.
And, even if you haven’t been following the situation pertaining to foreclosures in Hawaii, but you’ve often wondered what the banks would do if they were forced to prove they actually own a home, or represent a trust that holds the actual note, BEFORE foreclosing… you’ll want to hear this too.
First of all, in case you don’t know any of the background here, you might want to click on this article: Governor Abercrombie Signs SB 651 – Toughest Foreclosure Bill in Nation, NOW LAW!
But for everyone else, those who know that recently Hawaii’s state legislature became the first in the nation to stand up to the banking lobby, passing the toughest foreclosure protection bill in the country, haven’t you been wondering what the banksters were going to do in response?
Well, I sure have… in fact, I’ve even been working on a document to send over there that analyzed the different potential bankster responses, and even after analyzing things and trying to find something out about their plans, I still really wasn’t at all sure. I just could not imagine the servicers or lenders actually being able to conform to the new law’s requirements under any circumstances.
But, you see… a lot of people, when I say that, say things like… “well, I’m sure they have the proper documentation on SOME of the loans… they can’t ALL be gone.” And I say, no they don’t.
And they say, “now how do you know that?” And I say, because of robo-signing… robo-signing does not appear on a list of alternative actions. If you chose robo-signing, it’s because you couldn’t think of anything else. And because they never have the properly endorsed note in any of the high profile cases.
If they had some, we’d have seen them by now… heard about them… instead all the banksters say is that it’s an isolated incident whenever they don’t seem to have one, or the law firm didn’t produce the proper documents… stuff like that. In the Ibanez decision in Massachusetts, they didn’t even show up with a schedule of loans…nothing.
At this point it’s at least statistically improbable that they have them… unless they have them and they’re blank on the back, as in never endorsed to anyone, in which case the are in a vault somewhere and they’ll never show them to anyone.
And even after all that and more, some people, especially journalists, still say… “well, we’ll see.” Many of them aren’t even bothered by the fact that pretty much all the banks were robo-signing… all of them… competitors… and they all seem to have the same problem and they all came up with the same idiotic solutions… and all at the same time… all of them… competitors… fascinating.
Well, I’d say that what I’m about to show you puts a proverbial nail in the benefit-of-the-doubt-coffin.
Here’s how I analyzed the situation in Hawaii… it seemed to me there were four options for the banksters:
- Conform to the new non-judicial foreclosure process.
- Go with the state’s judicial foreclosure process.
- Do nothing, stop foreclosing and hope to get the law changed next legislative session.
- Bring some sort of preemptory challenge to the new law in federal court.
That’s it, right? What else could the banks do, in light of the new law?
I figured, that if I was right, they couldn’t chose #1. They just don’t have the chain of title documents unless they forge them. They could go with judicial foreclosure, #2, but it sure could be Florida Part Two, and that’s a real mess. Besides, Hawaii courts could adopt the same standard the new law outlined for mediation, in which case there’d be little advantaged gained. #3 seemed unlikely, but was a possibility nonetheless. And #4… well, it seemed to me that banks challenging the state’s new law could be WW III.
So, I really didn’t know what the banking industry was going to do… I only knew one thing with certainty, even if everyone didn’t agree… no way would they conform to the new law governing non-judicial foreclosures. Mediation sounded nice but if you can’t prove you own the property, you can’t satisfy the requirements of the new state law in Hawaii.
That’s what’s funny, in a way… Hawaii’s new law is only demanding that the bank follow the existing laws… nothing more. SB 651 doesn’t impose some new law or new requirement on bankers related to foreclosure, it merely requires bankers to do what they should have done all along under the existing laws governing the transfer of real property.
And if they can’t do that because they didn’t follow the existing laws governing the transfer of real property, well… then that’s what needs to be addressed, right? The answer isn’t to forge documents, right? That cannot be the answer. Covering a crime with another crime cannot be the answer, right?
Let’s say I lost my pink slip to my car and I want to sell it to you. I can’t. I’m going to have to go down to the DMV and follow some sort of process to get anew pink slip. Period. The answer isn’t for me to get on my computer and make a fake new pink slip. If I do that, now I’m guilty of a crime. And no judge is going to care that I was in a hurry to sell my car and say it was okay, therefore, to forge a pink slip. I’m not a lawyer, but I’m pretty sure that what I just said is correct.
So, what’s the NEWS? Is that what you’re wondering at this point… I’m torturing you? Okay, sorry, I just wanted you to have the same foundation I did when I heard the NEWS.
Fannie Mae has announced that it will ONLY pursue JUDICIAL FORECLOSURES in the State of Hawaii. They will not even attempt to comply with the new law. And why? I know why and you should too… because they can’t… because they don’t have the properly endorsed notes and can’t produce the proper chain of title… ever.
It’s like a game of chess… they did things… Hawaii did something in response… then they make a another move… and now it’s Hawaii turn again. And I’ll be on the phone to Hawaii in the morning… because I have an idea or two about what their next move might be.
And one more thing… let us not forget that this whole thing isn’t about the borrowers. All anyone has wanted was for the banks to modify loans in order to PREVENT PREVENTABLE FORECLOSURES, as the federal government asked them to do… as they contracted with the federal government to do… as is the right thing to do after being bailed out by the American taxpayers… and after being the people that caused the economic meltdown in the first place.
Why is it perfectly okay in the mind of the banking industry that they continue to be bailed out in various forms, but it’s not reasonable to extend the same courtesy to the American taxpayers who did the bailing. Did the homeowners of this country cause housing prices to fall off a cliff in the course of a year? Or did that happen because of a global credit crisis? Because I don’t think it was the homeowners who caused the global credit crisis, was it homeowners? Did we do that?
No… we did not.
Mandelman out.
~~~
Here’s the Fannie Mae Press Release, dated today… June 10th, 2011.
Fannie Mae on Hawaii’s New Law
BOMBSHELL- IRS TO CONSIDER TAX PENALTIES FOR REMICS
Most of the mortgages that are currently being foreclosed on were transferred into Real Estate Investment Conduits (REMICs). As we’ve been saying for years…and as the courts are now proving for certain years after the fact…most of these loans were not transferred into the trusts properly or at all. Most of the trusts violated just about every rule and law they could think of and while courts have heretofore been unconcerned with these transgressions, a key element is the fact that violating these rules can cause the trust to lose its favorable tax treatment under the IRS REMIC rules. From the Reuters story:
In a brief statement in response to questions from Reuters, the agency said: “The IRS is aware of questions in the market regarding REMICs and proper ownership of the underlying mortgages as set out in federal tax law, and is actively reviewing certain aspects of this issue.”
Now, the IRS cannot really enforce the rules against these trusts….the penalties and the payouts would be too huge and they are too big to fail, but the fact that it is now formally being investigated shows that the issue is real…
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SHOCKED! APPALLED! BEFUDDLED! FORECLOSURE MEDIATIONS ARE A DISMAL FAILURE!
So now the press is reporting what we’ve all known since foreclosure mediations began….they’re a dismal failure. Could it be because mediation requires that BOTH parties participate in good faith? Could it be because the banks do not want to settle? Could it be because the banks don’t know who owns the loans and so they cannot settle?
It’s all those reasons and more….so now what?
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THE FRAUDCLOSURE CRISIS- BLAME IT ON THE BORROWERS!
There was a time not so long ago when most people in this country blamed the borrowers for the financial crisis this country is in. The Fraudclosuregate crisis is a microcosm of the much larger economic problems this country faces. Sure, many of the borrowers were part of the problem, taking out larger loans than they could afford, but what we all need to focus on is the fact that while on one side of the table borrowers were accepting checks they could not afford, the bankers on the other side were pushing, forcing, coercing these borrowers to accept loans that were doomed from the beginning.
The United States Senate Committee on Investigations Report on the financial crisis documents, in excruciating detail, how the Wall Street players conspired to take advantage of consumers while every level of our government sat aside and allowed the Wall Street beasts to take over Amerika.
The Wall Street Wizards profited handsomely while the rest of the country paid to bail them out….
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BoA’s Bad Bank – Pay No Attention to the 6.7 Million Loans Behind the Curtain
Last week, Felix Salmon stopped me in my tracks by running a headline that said that Bank of America doesn’t “believe in treating borrowers fairly.”
What? Hold on… now that’s being a bit harsh, don’t you think?
Look, it’s been over three months since I ran the story about how BofA broke into a home they didn’t own and stole the ashes of the owner’s deceased husband, among other things… and a full year since they foreclosed on, emptied out, and placed a lock-box on the Florida home that was free, clear, and previously mortgaged by Wells Fargo. And I’m almost positive that an entire week has gone by without a new lawsuit being filed against the giant ghost-bank, although on this last point I’ll concede, I may be wrong.
I mean, can’t BofA catch a break anywhere? They’ve been behaving so well for a long time, at least in BofA years. In BofA years, a week without a lawsuit is like 5 regular human years, right?
So, I start reading the story and come to find out that Felix is reporting that Bank of America is setting up and transferring roughly half of 14 million mortgages into a “bad bank,” and I figure that means that there will now be two BofAs, and one will be called the “Bad Bank” and the other, I would have to assume, will be called the “Worse Bank.”
My wife and her Mom do both bank at BofA, and I’m kind of hoping that their accounts get split between the two BofAs. That way, when I ask her where she had to go today, she could answer by saying: “Oh, I had to go from Bad to Worse.” (LOL, I crack myself up sometimes.)
Anyway, Felix was explaining what FBR analyst Paul Miller, had said in a Bloomberg article as to the reason behind the good/bad split, which was: “to get investors focus on the good” and as “a way to talk about good things and ignore the bad.”
See, these are the kinds of things that make me afraid of the world around me… like, now I don’t want to even leave my house. Does stuff like this work on “investors?” What… are the “investors” he speaks of like four years old? I’m asking because that was about the last age that I could have pulled something like that on our daughter and expected it to work.
Salmon says that BofA is essentially doing two things:
- Trying to “sweep” bad loans under some kind of carpet.
- Step up its pushback against the proposed mortgage-servicing settlement.
Now, although I have to admit that I personally don’t read him often, or actually… ever, I’ve been told that Felix Salmon is a real smart guy, and I’ve been meaning to find his column for some time, so I tend to believe him here. So, that’s all a mega-bank has to do to get investors to stop focusing on roughly half of 14 million “bad” mortgages… announce to Bloomberg that they’re putting them into a “bad bank.”
Doesn’t that scare you? Don’t these investors ever read Bloomberg? I would have thought that they did, at least on occasion. So, why would transferring almost half of 14 million “bad loans” to “bad bank” trick them into forgetting about those 6.7 million “bad loans?” If this plan works… I’ll likely never recover.
Some guy named Terry Laughlin is said to be running “bad bank,” I assume CEO Brian Moynihan will continue to run “worse bank,” or maybe it’s the other way around, but no matter… they’re both BofA, so whatever. Apparently, Laughlin was giving some sort of presentation last week, and talking about how his new “bad bank” will focus on granting loan modifications to delinquent customers. According to Bloomberg, Laughlin said that “as borrowers default, we’ll evaluate them for a loan modification.”
See, now I would have said that would make them “Good Bank,” not “bad bank,” but that just shows you how out-of-touch I am with what’s going on in this country today.
I feel completely turned around on this issue… I thought that for the last few weeks, Geithner, and a whole bunch of other politicos had been saying that granting loan modifications was a good thing… stopping foreclosures… also good. But it’s only done by “bad bank,” apparently. So, I guess that bad is now good.
Ok, fine… so, just tell me, so I don’t hurt myself… is “up” also “down” and cold also hot? What about “in” also being “out”? You do what you want, but I’m not leaving my study until someone sends me a new set of instructions.
Now, as far as stepping up their “push-back against the proposed mortgage-servicing settlement,” Felix says that the settlement does “quite explicitly does include loan modifications for borrowers who aren’t in default.”
Okay, so I see the problem here… that means that “worse bank” is going to have to do loan modifications too, but all the loan modification personnel will be working over at “bad bank.” So, big deal… send the loan mod work across the street, from “worse” to “bad,” as it were… the customers should be happy about going from “worse” to “bad,” no? I know I would be, or at least I always have been in the past.
Felix references a point from the settlement proposal that the bankers are fighting about, part II.K.8, (document shown below), that says:
“Servicer’s employees shall not instruct, advise or recommend that borrowers go into default in order to qualify for loss mitigation relief.
According to Felix:
“This is something BofA hates — because it opens the door to underwater borrowers who are making timely payments being able to get a loan modification and thereby reduce the value of the loan. And BofA CEO Brian Moynihan is on the warpath against it, saying that such a system would be unfair to borrowers who don’t get their loans modified.
Is that what that paragraph does? So what, it opens the door… big deal. The door’s been open at BofA for several years now, and when the bank wants it to be revolving, it’s revolving. And when they want it shut, well… let’s just say that you had better get your fingers out of the way and leave it at that.
Felix also quotes Georgetown Law professor, Adam Levitin, who I think agrees with me about the whole “open door” policy thing. Levitin says that there’s nothing in the proposed settlement that forces BofA to do anything unfair… like BofA needs permission to do anything like that… LOL. He says:
“BofA is encouraged to draw up its own set of standards and then apply them to all of its borrowers in a consistent manner.”
Well, I can certainly see how that “consistent” thing would be at least irksome to BofA’s CEO… that’s for sure. That would require BofA to be working with a concept entirely foreign to the organization. I mean, shunning consistency is part of BofA’s culture. It’s like asking Apple employees to “Think the Same”.
Felix says that the only reason BofA is fighting back against the settlement proposal is that if either of the banks, from “bad” to “worse,” were to behave “according to the settlement’s guidelines, it (they) would lose some of that $35 billion to $40 billion a year that Moynihan reckons it should be able to make going forwards.”
Felix also says that he’s not aware of any bank “in the history of the world” that’s ever made $40 billion in a single year… and he says he doesn’t think any bank ever should make that much in a year. I actually agree with that, pretty much… except for Goldman Sachs, of course… I mean, our nation’s future is in their hands, after all, and I don’t think we should even start talking about limiting them in any way.
For one thing you don’t bite the hand that feeds you, and for another, if they even get wind of this kind of talk, they’re likely to punish us in some significant way. Remember the collapse of the Ruble in 1998, and the bailout of Long-Term Capital Management? Yeah, well I heard that was done in response to Brooksley Born’s regulate-the-derivatives shenanigans back in ’94. I’m telling you, let’s not mess with Goldman… God’s work, if you recall… and he didn’t look like he was joking to me.
(Felix also offers a unique exception to the Federal Reserve, but I don’t think he has too much to worry about there. Unless Bernanke just keeps printing money while keeping all of the secret garbage assets on their books at their stated values that banks have been able to use as collateral for loans these past few years, we’ll be lucky if we see the Fed truly makes money again in my lifetime.)
The rest of the banks, however, I agree with Felix… they don’t need to be making $40 billion a year… especially when most people’s experience with them goes from “bad to worse” pretty darn fast. Of course, that was under the leadership, and I use that term extremely loosely… of Kenny “The Acquirer” Lewis.
Felix ends by pointing out: “Bank of America is far too big to fail, and as such it benefits greatly from an implicit government guarantee. The least it can do in return is treat its borrowers fairly,” and that’s another point that I have to say I don’t agree with in the least.
The least BofA can do is to treat borrowers fairly? That’s just not a true statement. I’d say, the MOST they can do is treat borrowers fairly… the least they can do… well, I hope we’ve already seen the least they can do, but every time I think that about one of the banks, they seem to rush right out and show me that they can do even less.
Mandelman out.
NY Times and the Great MERS Fiasco- MERS Swallowed Your Home
“So as far as anyone can tell their real theory was: ‘If we can get everyone on board, no judge will want to upend something that is reasonable and sensible and would screw up 70 percent of loans.’ ”
County officials appealed to Congress, arguing that MERS was of dubious legality. But this was the 1990s, an era of deregulation, and the mortgage industry won.
“We lost our revenue stream, and Americans lost the ability to immediately know who owned a piece of property,” said Mark Monacelli, the St. Louis County recorder in Duluth, Minn.
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NY Times and the Great MERS Fiasco- MERS Swallowed Your Home
“So as far as anyone can tell their real theory was: ‘If we can get everyone on board, no judge will want to upend something that is reasonable and sensible and would screw up 70 percent of loans.’ ”
County officials appealed to Congress, arguing that MERS was of dubious legality. But this was the 1990s, an era of deregulation, and the mortgage industry won.
“We lost our revenue stream, and Americans lost the ability to immediately know who owned a piece of property,” said Mark Monacelli, the St. Louis County recorder in Duluth, Minn.
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Fighting the Government…The Real Battle in Fraudclosuregate
I have grown increasingly frustrated in fighting this battle because in many cases the fight is senseless. More often than not, a deal could be reached that would serve the best interests of the homeowner and……it would make the most business sense to the lender. The problem is in many cases it’s not the lender that’s calling the shots, it’s the federal government and their absurd policies and programs. Loans cannot be modified because of rigid HAMP guidelines. Short sales cannot get approved because the FDIC’s loss share agreement is more profitable to the lender if they take a loss. The lender will not waive deficiency against my judgment proof debtor because it’s Fannie/Freddie.
The record profits of the banks show they’ve figured out how to turn all of this to their advantage; not so the American people. They’re stuck fighting their government and the absurd policies that are working to their detriment…..policies they paid for through hard earned tax dollars. It’s the Golden Rule….
He who has the gold rules…..
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How Banks View Loan Modifications
I can’t think of any subject that has been so widely and frequently discussed and studied, over such a long period of time, by such a large number of experts and observers, who continually espouse such a diverse range of opinions and cite such a large number of conflicting facts, that is still so misunderstood… or understood differently by different people… or in short, is such a mess… that affects so many people… and is so important to our government and our economy… yet remains pretty much unsolvable… AS LOAN MODIFICATIONS.
See… loan modifications today represent such a complex subject that even writing a sentence describing the situation surrounding them, such as the one above, was a pain in the neck.
Let’s start with the questions on everyone’s mind… Why aren’t more loans getting modified? Why is it so difficult to get the bank to modify a mortgage? Why are trial modifications ending in foreclosure? Why is it that people are consistently treated so poorly by the banks? Is it the investors that are making it hard to get a loan modification? Is the government doing enough to get banks to modify loans? And should people hire an attorney to help them obtain a loan modification, or go it alone? That’s at least a pretty good start, right?
I think the fundamental thing that almost no one understands involves how a bank views a borrower’s request for a loan modification. Lot’s of people, including me in past articles, have said that banks simply don’t want to modify mortgages. Lot’s of people, including me, have also pointed out that servicers make more money by foreclosing than modifying loans.
All of those points apply in certain circumstances, but they’re also beside the point to some degree.
A Banker’s View…
Your bank views you calling to request that your mortgage be modified as the beginning of a process. Maybe you truly need and deserve a loan modification, but maybe not. The only way the bank will be able to tell one way or the other is by putting you through that process, and it’s not a pleasant process in the least.
Let’s say that you’re someone that has good credit, you’ve never missed a payment, and now are saying that you need your loan modified or you may lose your home to foreclosure. When you call your bank to ask about a loan modification, they’re going to tell you that they can’t talk to you until your payment is delinquent by at least 30 days.
You hang up the phone. You’re disappointed. And you now have your first decision to make: Do you let your credit score get trashed by going 30 days late on your mortgage? It’s not an easy decision. Once you head down that path it’ll be years before your credit score is back up where it’s always been, and if you need your credit to be good for other reasons, chances are you’ll decide that you no longer want a loan modification because the cost of trying to get one… sacrificing your credit score… is too high.
The bank’s process has just saved the bank quite a bit of money. Had the bank agreed to modify your loan, it would have been like throwing money away unnecessarily because you kept making your payments without them having to modify your loan.
Now, let’s say that you decide to go 30 days delinquent on your mortgage. You call back, now 30 days late, but now your bank tells you that you have to be 90 days late before you can be transferred to a negotiator. You hang up the phone. Again, you’re disappointed. Do you go 90 days late, or do you bring your loan current and forget the whole thing? Some bring their loans current, others don’t.
If you don’t bring your loan back to current status, you’re about to start receiving a series of letters and phone calls designed to make you feel ashamed, guilty and scared. And those letters will come more and more frequently, and they’ll be written using stronger and stronger terms. And chances are you’ll feel worse and worse as time goes by.
Then in 90 days, assuming you’ve gone the distance, you call the bank again. This time they’ll tell you that your credit score is now too low to qualify for a loan modification. Now you’re enraged. You stomp your feet. And then, if there’s anyway you can do it, chances are you bring your loan current and try to forget the whole idea of a loan modification. Maybe you get rid of a car payment to do it, maybe you rent out a room or take on a part-time job to generate the extra income you need, or maybe you borrow the money from a relative.
You never even bring up the whole experience to your friends or family members because you’re ashamed that it even happened. You’re ashamed that you were having trouble making the mortgage payment that you signed up for, and you’re ashamed about having gone 90 days late on your mortgage payment and almost losing your home. The whole thing becomes one of those skeletons that you hope will soon fade away in your closet of memories.
Besides, what would your friends or family members even say if you did tell them? Do you think they’d be on your side and angry at the way your bank treated you? Or would they take the view that the bank had every right to handle your situation the way they did, because after all, you signed the mortgage and agreed to make the payments… the bank has no obligation to lower your payment just because you having trouble making it. You’re lucky the bank didn’t foreclose, in the eyes of your friends or family members.
Oh, and one or two more things, while we’re at it… maybe you should have opted for a little less house and not gone quite so far out on a limb… maybe you should have spent a little less on your car too, and not used your credit cards for all those nice clothes you wear… maybe you’re just living way beyond your means. You’re probably not saving for retirement either. You’re one of THOSE irresponsible people and maybe losing your home to foreclosure would teach you a lesson.
Whew… it’s exhausting, isn’t it?
But, let’s say for a moment that you could not find a way to bring your mortgage payment current when told, when you were 90 days delinquent, that your score was now too low to qualify for a modification. Now you’re 120 days behind, and soon it’s been six months since you’ve made a payment to your bank on your loan.
By now the bank is sending you the most threatening letters imaginable. They could foreclose at any moment according to the letters, and their tone tells you that you are basically an irresponsible failure who cannot be trusted because your word means nothing. You promised to make the payment and now you’re not living up to that promise. You’re a promise breaker… a liar. How do you sleep at night? You shouldn’t even have friends, because if your friends knew what you were up to, they likely wouldn’t want to be your friend anymore.
Nonetheless, you’re now seven months late, then eight, and then nine. Now the bank is calling you almost daily, the pressure is becoming unbearable, you’re trying everything to make more money so that you can make the payment. If you do find a way to come up with the cash, you bring your mortgage payment current immediately. If you get a new job that pays more, you call your bank and start begging and explaining that everything is going to be okay… you’re working again… if they’d just please understand… you’re a good person… you’ll pay your payment every month and on time from now on… you’re sooooo sorry to have gotten behind… How about $1200 this week, and then $1200 the following week, and then $2000 by the end of the… blah, blah, blah.
You’re a babbling fool that will agree to just about anything the bank says at that moment. If the person you’re talking to at the bank acts the slightest bit nice to you, or comes off as even a little bit understanding of your situation… you gush with appreciation and feel like you want to be their BFF. Thank you, thank you, thank you, thank you, thank you, thank you… really… thank you so much. My husband thanks you, my children thank you… my dog thanks you. Yuck. It’s disgusting, really.
Or, maybe that’s not what happens. And now you’re almost eleven months late. You’re working. You could make a reasonable payment if you weren’t so far behind. You’ll never be able to pay off the arrears though, so what’s the point. You’re desperate… you’re about to give up and resign yourself to the fact that you’re going to lose your home to foreclosure. You’re trying to get used to the idea that you’ll soon be packing and calling the moving truck… its heart wrenching for anyone to watch.
Well, guess what? Depending on the specifics of your situation… whether there’s any equity in your home… how far underwater you are… how long are homes like yours and in your area remaining on the market before being sold? Things like that.
Do you see what’s going on?
Since foreclosure is now imminent, the bank can’t threaten to ruin your credit score anymore, as it’s already ‘F’ and would be ‘G’ if scores went that low. The bank is now trying to figure out two things:
1. What is the likelihood of you being able to make the payment if the bank modifies your loan? What if they take the amount in arrears, tack it on to the back end of the loan, and reduce your monthly payment by a couple hundred a month? Would that do it? Or would you agree to the deal and then not be able to make the modified payment… and again in six months end up right back in foreclosure where you are now.
If the bank thinks that might happen, they won’t modify your loan. They’d rather foreclose now than go through this same thing next year and end up foreclosing then. Real estate values will likely be lower next year, so by waiting the bank just assures itself of a bigger loss on the property.
The cost of foreclosure to your bank is going to be 30% to 50%, or even more in the worst of instances. But that’s not the most important factor to your bank… this is all about your bank’s degree of certainty that if they modify your loan, you won’t be back in foreclosure anytime soon, and likely never. Your bank views a loan modification as pretty close to unthinkable in the first place, so it’s unquestionable that it’s a once in a lifetime thing in their eyes. You should be too embarrassed to even ask a bank to modify a loan a second time, according to your bank. It’s almost like… if that happens, you’ll probably want to change your name and move to another state. What a load of crap the banks have peddled our way all these years.
So, you see… it’s a range. In order to get your loan modified, you need to fall somewhere between “Definitely won’t default again if loan reasonably modified,” and “Will self-cure the mortgage before home is actually taken back by the bank”. Get it?
I talk to people all the time that have recently applied for a loan modification, and they always talk to me about how it will cost the bank more to foreclose on their particular house, so they expect the bank to modify the loan. But then the bank refuses, and I hear people say that they can’t understand it because the bank should do what’s in the best interests of investors. Then we start talking about how servicers make more money foreclosing, all of which is true.
The problem with this line of thinking, however, is that it fails to incorporate all the data… it’s not just a numbers game to the bank. First they need to know, if they offer you nothing, will you really end up losing the home to foreclosure, or will you let the Devil himself rent out a room to avoid that shameful outcome? Then they need to know that if they do accommodate you and provide you with a modification, chances are good that you’ll never miss a payment for the rest of your life.
Shame, shame, shame…
So, how should a bank go about getting the answer to either or both of those key questions? Self-cure and/or re-default? It’s not like you can find the answer to either of those questions from looking at an application or a credit report. You certainly can’t tell by talking to someone on the phone.
The only way a bank can know for sure whether you’re going to self-cure and eject yourself from the foreclosure process, is to let you get to that point and see what you do.
It’s like a game of poker… will you fold under extreme stress and pressure and show up with the money to save your home, or will the bank actually be forced to foreclose, and therefore better off to modify your loan… and if they do approve your “mod,” as they say in the biz, will you make it just fine for a long, long time, or will you end up right back where you are today, next year at this time, if not sooner?
Once a bank knows the answer to those two questions about you, then the bank’s cost comparison between modification and foreclosure becomes pivotal, but until then, chances are the bank will play out its inherently superior hand and count on you folding your cards before foreclosure by coming up with the money you said you could not possibly come up with when you were talking with your bank’s representative about a loan modification.
I talked to a woman a few days ago, she said she was in her early sixties, said she owned two homes, desperately needed at least one loan modified and probably both, otherwise she’s going to be on the street. She wanted me to recommend a few attorneys for her to talk to, and I gave her the contact information for the lawyers I knew in reasonably close proximity to her home. Then she asked me a few questions, and the last one I’ll always remember. Referring to the lawyer, she said:
“Do you think I have to tell him about my trust account?” (Adorable, right?)
I answered as honestly as I could. I said: “I wouldn’t.” (It’s probably not the right answer, I realize, but I’m just saying…)
If this were a tennis match, the score would always read: Advantage – Banks & Servicers
The reason that, other things being equal, I advise people to hire an attorney to help them negotiate a loan modification is that their lender or servicer will ALWAYS have a huge built in advantage in any negotiation over the settlement of a debt you contracted to repay, because the moral norms for borrowers work against them, and the market norms that apply to banks, support the bank doing pretty much whatever it thinks it needs to do to get the borrower into compliance with the terms of his or her loan… or reclaim the property.
Even when people hear that a bank did something really egregious or even illegal, many of them just say: “Yeah, well, I guess that can happen.” It’s as if to say that perhaps the bank went too far, but the borrowers were juggling flaming chainsaws in terms of risk, and the bank still has the right to take back its home and punish the irresponsible homeowner who fell outside of our society’s norms by failing to fulfill his or her promise to repay a debt.
See, there are some things in our society that work the way they do only because we believe they will work the way they do. The FDIC, or Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, is a commonly offered example of this principle at work. The FDIC “guarantees” cash deposits up to $250,000 per account, as of last year, I believe. So, no one has to worry about rushing down to the bank to get their money out if there’s a problem at the bank, the FDIC will cover any loss up to $250,000 per account.
Except, even in the best of times, the FDIC could not possibly come up with the money to cover even a small fraction of bank deposits in this country. If there ever were a disaster that caused all the banks to fail, the FDIC would be meaningless. The FDIC is an independent agency of the federal government and you might call it a “faith based” organization because it only exists to give us faith in our banking system, and only works as intended because of that faith.
Well, loan modification negotiations are a little bit like that. The bank gets to use shame, guilt and fear to get you into compliance with your loan. Once you’re deeply ashamed, you won’t tell anyone what’s going on… and you’ll feel worse every day. Then you become afraid to answer the phone. Then you’re turning off the machine… you won’t even want to hear the phone ring.
Your bank will also greatly exaggerate what it will cost you to lose your property to foreclosure. You’ll be told that you won’t be able to buy anything for a decade, and all kinds of other nonsense. By the time you’re done reading a few of the letters you get from your lender each week, you can easily become convinced that losing your home is almost the end of all opportunity in your life. Might as well be a bum after that. It’s absurd of course… you can buy another home in 2-3 years, if that’s even what you want to do. There’ll be so many foreclosures on the market… you’re going to be hearing about foreclosures selling ten years from now.
The Point Is…
The point is, that when homeowners start the process of negotiating with their lender, they’re not only subject to being made to feel guilty and ashamed, but they are also likely to over-estimate the personal cost of foreclosure, all as a result of the bank’s and our society’s intentional efforts to make borrowers feel that way. It’s no accident, is what I’m trying to say.
You see, we keep the banks open and safe by believing in the FDIC, and we keep people from walking away from their homes when the value of those homes drops significantly by imposing our society’s moral norms, which include shame, guilt and fear, related to repaying debts. If the government and the banks can make homeowners deeply ashamed and afraid to lose their homes, then fewer people will even ever ask for a modification in the first place. With me?
Why the Bank Doesn’t Want You to Hire a Lawyer or other Expert…
When a homeowner hires an attorney to help negotiate a loan modification, that attorney is not going to being made to feel ashamed, guilty, or afraid… the borrower can be made to feel all of those things and more, but the lawyer, not so much. He or she is a hired gun, if you will. That’s why the banks don’t want homeowners to be represented, and why they want homeowners to call them directly.
Treasury looks the other way on this “put-the-borrower-through-hell” process because it understands that banks have to make sure that they are not throwing away money by modifying loans for borrowers who would have self-cured. Nor does the government want the banks to modify loans for people who won’t be able to make the modified payment. And since the only way for the bank to really know either of those things is to put the borrowers through their paces, as it were. Many will self-cure, some should be foreclosed upon… blend, shake, stir and pour,,, see what comes out. And of those that fall somewhere in the middle, some will have more or less equity, and some will be in markets where houses are selling relatively faster than others.
Out of that psycho-social-financial-market analysis, the bank will modify some loans… but the process used to conduct the so-called analysis is guaranteed to frustrate the hell out of everyone who enters it that’s determined to obtain a loan modification.
Being represented by an attorney or other expert throughout the process is unquestionably better than not being represented, mostly because that attorney won’t be subject to the bank’s tactics of trying to shame, guilt or scare, and as a result of that, is likely to think more clearly than you would be able to. And also because of the attorney’s or other expert’s knowledge of the law related to the foreclosure process and the HAMP guidelines, that attorney is more likely to get a result that’s acceptable to you, the homeowner… and by acceptable, I mean a modification that’s sustainable over time.
Is This How Things Should Be Done Today?
Absolutely not. The situation we’re in today is NOT a normal market correction, and I thought I’d better make it clear how I feel about how the banks are handling loan modifications: I hate everything about it, and I think it could not be more wrong. The Obama Administration has continued our government’s tradition of implementing pointless programs designed to help stop the foreclosure crisis. Nothing our government has done has helped in the least… they’ve failed us at every turn.
It’s not today’s homeowners that are responsible for the position in which they find themselves… no matter what anyone tells you… it is NOT your fault. If someone would like to debate that point with me, bring it. I’m easy to find and can be emailed at mandelman@mac.com. But come to the discussion prepared, because I am.
This meltdown was caused by this country’s financial institutions, and not by people with mediocre credit scores who wanted to buy houses. It’s the banks that did this, but no one is making them do anything to fix what they’ve clearly broken.
We’ve given the banks in this country something like $11 TRILLION so far, and we’re going to have to give them a lot more. The so-called toxic assets are still right where they were last fall, and the banks that were too big to fail last year, are now bigger. They have an obligation to act in the best interests of the homeowners they screwed, and in the best interests of our nation’s economy because without American taxpayers, they wouldn’t even be open for business.
So, don’t read what I’ve written and come away thinking that I approve of the way banks view borrowers asking for loan modifications… I don’t. I’ve only written what you’ve just read because I think it’s important that people understand the dynamics of what’s going on… that the reason they feel guilty and ashamed is because the banks and our government want them to feel that way, so that people don’t just start walking away from their mortgages because they’re so far underwater.
They’re manipulating you into feeling ashamed for being in trouble on your mortgage… but don’t let them make you feel that way. It’s not your fault… it’s the banks that wear the black hats in this horror movie, make no mistake about that.
And, in the event that you’ve already lost a home to foreclosure, don’t believe the crap about how your life will be ruined for another ten years. It’s simply not true. You may not be able to buy another house for the next few years, but so what? We haven’t come close to hitting bottom, so you wouldn’t want to buy another home in the near future anyway.
All forecasts say that we’ll have 12 million more foreclosures in the next two years, and that number is probably low, so don’t feel alone and ashamed about your situation. The people you’re talking to down the street have problems too, they’re just too ashamed to tell anyone about their situation, just like you’ve been afraid to talk about yours.
Let it go… and let’s turn up the heat on exposing what the banks have done and continue to do. Next year the mid-term elections will mean that every single representative in the House is up for re-election. Let’s just see if we can’t send a message they’ll hear and listen to… I’m sure we can, if we want to.
It’s not over until it’s over. Don’t give up the fight. Knowledge is power. As Winston Churchill once said:
“Never give up. Never give up. Never. Never. Never.”
Investors Suing Banks Are On The Same Side As Homeowners In Foreclosure
It’s next to impossible to get any information while you’re in foreclosure from the servicer or trustee. Reasonable discovery requests for basic information are objected to and almost never complied with. It’s not just homeowners receiving the cold shoulder…the investors are as well….JUST WHAT ARE THEY HIDING?
JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s EMC Mortgage, facing homeowner lawsuits over foreclosures, was sued by the trustee of a mortgage portfolio for refusing to turn over documents detailing the quality of loans bought by the trust.
Wells Fargo & Co., the trustee, is seeking access to files for more than 2,000 underlying mortgages in the Bear Stearns Mortgage Funding Trust 2007-AR2, according to the complaint filed today in Delaware Chancery Court in Wilmington.
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DEATH FROM FORECLOSURE- WE’RE GOING TO SEE MORE OF THIS
One of the things that I’m most concerned with in the middle of this Foreclosure Fight is the increasing desperation I see and hear from clients and consumers. Even if people are being treated fairly and getting foreclosed on, there are some folks who are just so desperate, so angry, so abandoned that they are going to take desperate measures. There have been two examples just in the last month in my immediate area, and I’m certain that we’re going to see many more before this is all through.
It’s bad enough when people feel like they’re losing out when it’s a fair fight, but when people feel like they’re being abused and mistreated, then things are going to take a very ugly turn. And we know from the testimony in front of Congress and all the reports that real people are suffering real abuse. I’m not just saying abuse because your loan modification was denied. I’m calling abuse the endless cycle of phone calls and lost paperwork and resubmitting documents over and over. I’m calling abuse throwing a homeowner into the street then selling her home at foreclosure when they wouldn’t give the homeowner the same deal. I’m calling abuse refusing to acknowledge the real purchase price of some of these loans…especially when the loans were purchased in government-subsidized sweetheart deals.
This has all got to stop. Now. We’ve all got to start looking after one another and protecting our neighbors and communities. We cannot let people suffer in silence. We cannot let people think there is no hope. The story reported below is tragic, but I want us all to think how we could have intervened to help this couple before this tragedy took place. And because we’re going to see more and more of this, we all need to be working on ways to reach out to assist people before it gets this bad….
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OOHOORAH! Foreclosures Suspended for Active Duty Military!

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Truly Mind Boggling Disclosures of Documentation Errors in Mortgage Loan Pools
I run a tight, very organized and fairly lean organization. In these unfortunate economic times, I could grow fast and manage a large operation, but I want to do things correctly and be able to keep my eyes on everyone and my hands in all my files. Quite simply, I don’t want things to grow sloppy and out of control. A major reason for this crisis is the banks and institutions failed to accurately document and close massive transactions involving billions of dollars. Rather than do things slowly and carefully, things spun wildly out of control.
Have a long and detailed read of the document attached here that relates to a federal bankruptcy case. It provides a sobering and sickening look into document problems for trusts that (theoretically at least) own billions of dollars in loans. Now if I were closing billions of dollars in loans, you can be darn sure I’m going to work hard to prevent the types of errors like the ones reported in this report from occurring.
It’s very hard to digest, but read it carefully and consider the impact of all of this on the larger economy…..we’re all paying for this after all……
As of the most recent reports, there exist missing or defective loan file documents for several billion dollars in original principal amount of loans.
Repurchase Claims, the Trustee asserts that, based on its information and belief regarding the mortgage loan securitization market, such claims will exist with respect to 2% to 30% of the aggregate original principal balance of the loans in the Trusts (i.e. $908,468,758 to $13,627,031,372).
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Mandelman U. Presents: There’s Credit Default Swaps & then there’s Credit Default Swaps
Complexity We Eschew at Good Old…
Mandelman U.
Sit, Sulte, Simplex
In 1998, there were so few Credit Default Swaps in play that they were hardly worth counting. Not only were there a relatively small number of these credit derivatives being issued, but they essentially never paid off. That’s right. Issuing credit default swaps, at least as they were originally conceived and utilized, was risky like issuing flight insurance was risky.
So, what the heck happened to elevate credit default swaps to the status of global economy killer as they might rightfully be described today? Well, there are credit default swaps… and then there are credit default swaps.
The Set-Up…
Let’s start with this fact: banks are required to hold funds in reserve for future losses, and the amounts they reserve can not be invested to maximize return, so they want to hold as little in reserve as is permitted by what are called Basel II regulations. How much a bank is required to hold in reserve depends on what type of assets… read: loans… are on its balance sheets. The riskier the loans a bank owns, the more capital the bank must keep in reserve. But, additionally, riskier loans pay better.
If a bank has invested in a bunch of sub-prime mortgages, they have to reserve for some percentage of homeowners who default on their payments and/or pre-pay their mortgages, but if those mortgages are inside a triple A rated security, and if that security is “insured” by a credit default swap, then they don’t have to reserve anything for a future loss, because it doesn’t appear that there will be a future loss. Oh, and if the whole transaction can be handled off the bank’s balance sheet in the first place, such as inside an SIV or Special Investment Vehicle, that’s held off-shore… then so much the better.
How it all began…
Sometime in 1994, JPMorgan created the first credit default swap.
It seems that JPMorgan had provided Exxon with a $4.8 billion credit line, but Exxon was now facing $5 billion in punitive damages as a result of the Valdez catastrophe, so JPMorgan was required to reserve the funds for such a credit risk. To clean up their balance sheet, JPMorgan sold the credit risk involved in the Exxon credit line to a large European banking concern, and thereby reduced the amounts it was required to hold in reserve. It swapped the risk of $4.8 billion in extended credit defaulting.
It worked so well that, in 1997, JPMorgan created BISTRO, which stood for “Broad Index Securitized Trust Offering.” BISTRO was a proprietary product for JPMorgan that used CDSs to clean up a bank’s balance sheet, just like the bank had done for itself in the case of Exxon a few years back.
But, BISTRO actually used the securitization process to break up the credit risk into smaller pieces, which allowed smaller investors to get in the game… not everyone can take on a $4.8 billion risk… and in that sense BISTRO was the first “synthetic collateralized debt obligation” or synthetic CDO.
Don’t be discouraged if you’re not getting all that at the moment, hopefully I’ll straighten it all out in a minute or two.
Then, in 2003, best I can tell, Goldman Sachs convinced AIG to offer a credit default swap on a CDO… a collateralized debt obligation. You can think of a CDO as being a derivative of a mortgage-backed security.
Remember how we create mortgage-backed securities? We take a bunch of mortgages and put them into a pool and then we create a contract that prioritizes the payment streams into slices called tranches. The top is the safest tranche, it pays the lowest interest rate and is always rated triple A because it receives its payments before any other tranche. The middle tranche, called the mezzanine or “the mez,” if you’re that Wall-Street-cool, gets its payments after the top tranche has been filled, and it is rated BBB. The bottom tranche doesn’t get a nickel until the top two have been filled as expected, and it is often unrated, or in other words is like a junk bond. It offers the highest rate of interest, but also carries the greatest amount of risk.
Okay… still with me, right? If that last paragraph was confusing, you should probably go back and read another Mandelman U. article: Securitization and Mortgage-Backed Securities, which explains the securitization process and mortgage-backed securities thoroughly and in simple terms.
So, let’s say that we’ve sold all the triple A rated tranches and we’ve got a bunch of BBB rated stuff laying around. Well, if we… let’s call it… re-securitize all of the BBB tranches, we’ll end up with another top tranche that will again be rated triple A, another “mez” rated BBB, and another unrated bottom tranche. But notice that the first time we securitized the mortgages the payment streams that went into the tranches came directly from the mortgages in the pool. But this time, we re-securitized the BBB tranches from other securitizations, so we’re one step removed as compared with the first time around.
This time, for our triple A rated tranche to get a nickel, the top tranches in the first securitizations have to have been filled up with payment streams as expected. So, a CDO’s income isn’t based on payment streams from mortgages, rather it’s income is based on payment streams from securities whose incomes are based on mortgages.
So, Goldman Sachs convinces AIG to offer credit default swaps on triple A rated tranches of CDOs. I mean, why not? After all, the historical loss rates on American mortgages were damn near zero. And, thus was reborn the credit default swap… now tailor made for the mortgage boom that was fast bringing the U.S. economy out of the recession created by the bursting of the dot-com bubble a few years before.
Now, investors buy CDOs, which look great, because they are based on BBB rated tranches, so they pay higher interest than were it based on the triple A rated tranche, BUT… it’s re-securitized, if you will, so it has a new triple A rated tranche itself. And you can get a CDS so there’s no risk at all… load ‘em up. They look as safe as U.S. Treasury bonds, but they pay much higher interest rates, and have no risk of default as a result of the inexpensive CDS you added on top.
Oh, and these CDOs are hard to construct and value, so Wall Street investment bankers can make a bundle putting the deals together and selling them all over the world. In fact, almost no one on the planet can truly understand what they’re made up of, and what they’re worth… absolute heaven for Wall Street types.
(You see, it’s important to understand that the harder it is to value something, the more a Wall Street investment bank can charge to put the deal together and make a market for whatever it is. Just think of it as being the opposite of gold. Gold is a commodity that trades all over the world, so all you need to do is look up the price of gold today and there it is for all to see. So, Wall Street firms aren’t much interested in selling gold… too easy to price, get it?)
The most simplified example of a credit default swap would be issued as related to highly rated corporate bonds. Let’s say your Aunt passed away and left you $100,000. And you decided to put that $100,000 into a triple A rated Exxon-Mobil corporate bond, perhaps instead of a Treasury bill of some sort, because Exxon-Mobil was offering a slightly higher interest rate and since Exxon-Mobil is one of the world’s largest and most stable corporations, you saw the investment as being just about as safe as bonds issued by the U.S. Treasury.
But, just in case… because you didn’t want any risk whatsoever, you decided to buy a credit default swap, which in essence insured the investment you made in the Exxon-Mobil bond. If Exxon-Mobil defaulted on their obligation to pay you as promised, the company who issued the credit default swap would pay you what you were owed under the terms of the bond.
Of course, triple A rated corporate bonds, like those that might be issued by Exxon-Mobil, very rarely default… and by very rarely, I mean like never, so you probably wouldn’t need to insure against such an event, but that’s also why doing so wouldn’t be very expensive… very much like the flight insurance that you can buy before boarding a given flight.
The odds of that individual flight crashing and you being killed as a result are remote… very remote1. So, if you’ll pay something like $50, some insurance company will pay $1,000,000 if your flight crashes and you die as a result. A credit default swap issued on a triple A rated Exxon-Mobil corporate bond might be considered about that risky, and therefore it wouldn’t cost very much to buy.
For example, Michael Lewis, in his book “The Big Short,” quotes the cost of a credit default swap on a $100 million mortgage-backed security as being $200,000 a year for ten years. So, if you paid the annual premium for the entire ten years, you would have paid 2% of the insured amount. Two million to get you One hundred million… that’s 50:1… better than the odds when playing roulette.
Of course, you might not have paid for ten years before your bond or mortgage-backed security defaulted, so in that case your return would have been much greater. Like if you owned the credit default swap for one year, and as a result had only paid one $200,000 premium payment, then your return would be 500:1, right? Not too shabby, if you can get in on something like that, I’m sure you’d agree.
I’m not saying that’s exactly how today’s credit default swaps work because for one thing, they are only offered to institutional investors, and not on the bond you bought with money your Aunt bequeathed to you. But, as descriptions go, it’s not that far away either, so hopefully you’re getting the general idea.
You see, that’s what I mean when I say there were credit default swaps and then there were credit default swaps.
In my Exxon-Mobile example, the credit default swap was insuring against a single corporation defaulting, and in the “CDSs” of our current financial crisis and resulting mortgage meltdown, it was individual homeowners paying mortgages that could cause your bond or CDO (considered to be another derivative) to default. Also, in our Exxon-Mobile example, you owned the bond and in the recent fiasco, you didn’t need to own anything to buy the credit default swap “insurance,” and thereby place a bet against the bond paying off as agreed.
Bond insurance… sort of…
And that’s what a credit default swap is, really… bond insurance. But no one ever wanted to refer to it that way because they were afraid that the State Insurance Commissioners would want to regulate CDSs like they regulate all other forms of insurance, requiring the companies that sold CDSs to hold money in reserve against potential future claims.
Besides, it was argued, CDSs weren’t actually insurance, they just played insurance on T.V.
For example, the buyer of a CDS doesn’t have to own the underlying security that in a sense is being insured against default. In fact, the buyer doesn’t even have to suffer a loss as a result of the defaulting security in order to cash in on the CDS. That’s not very insurance like. And insurance companies manage risk using actuarial data and the law of large numbers to determine appropriate loss reserves, while the sellers of CDSs price them using financial models and attempt to hedge risk using other securities dealers and a variety of transactions in underlying bond markets.
So, since none of the companies that issued credit default swaps ever thought that they’d have to pay a claim related to the insurance they were selling, they didn’t tie up their cash in a reserve account when it could be invested elsewhere, and therefore earning returns. By referring to them as “swaps,” they were completely unregulated, falling under the Commodity Futures Modernization Act (“CFMA”), which was a statute passed in 2000, that removed swaps transactions from any and in fact essentially all substantive federal oversight.
The CFMA legislation was, it’s interesting to note, pretty much rushed through Congress during a lame duck session. It was a rider to an 11,000-page omnibus appropriations bill. So, I think one would have to say, very well done there.
And the end result is that credit default swaps remain entirely unregulated… even after this latest financial disaster, we’ve done nothing to change that, which is sort of like finding out the day after 9-11 happened that we are still allowing passengers to carry box cutters on commercial flights.
What the bankers did…
Okay, so you’re a European bank and you’ve got too many deposits because in your country people still save money, actually.. You’re looking for something to invest in that will help you increase the spread between the interest rates you pay people for their deposits, and the interest rates you’re able to earn by lending.
You need the safest thing you can find, at the highest possible rate of interest… a difficult balancing act for all of us, to be sure.
You could, of course, but a bunch of triple A rated mortgage-backed securities based on sub-prime loans, but that would increase your reserve requirements, which would reduce the amount of cash you can invest and hence the amount of leverage (read: borrowing) you can employ.
But wait… maybe not. AIG is offering a way for you to have your cake and eat it too. Isn’t financial innovation wonderful?
With the AIG answer, you can forget the Basel II rules by using the unregulated insurance contract called a “credit default swap.” For let’s say 2% of face value, AIG agrees to guarantee the subprime mortgage-backed security you want to buy against default for five years.
As long as it maintained a triple-A credit rating, AIG didn’t have to put up any capital as collateral on its swaps. There was no real capital cost to selling then; there was no limit to the number that could be sold. Of course, as AIG’s credit rating fell, the company was required by its own contracts to post collateral… money… to ensure that it could pay off the claim in the event of a default. And that’s what buried AIG… collateral calls from the likes of Goldman Sachs and many others around the world.
And thanks to “mark-to-market” accounting, as described in FAS 157 and FAS 159, AIG could book the profits from a five-year credit default swap as soon as the contract was sold, based solely on the expected default rate. What the computer said AIG was likely to make on the deal, the accountants would write down as actual profit. The broker who sold the swap would be paid a bonus at the end of the first year – long before the actual profit on the contract was made.
The European bank was now able to assure its regulators that it was holding only triple-A credit securities, and certainly not a bunch of subprime loans given to people without jobs, income or assets. The bank could employ the maximum amount of leverage allowable under Basel II, and AIG could book hundreds of millions in “profit” each year, without having to pony up billions in collateral, or really even invest a dime of its capital.
They even started selling “synthetic CDOs,” which were collateralized debt obligations, but with only credit default swaps inside… no mortgage-backed securities at all… just the credit default swaps that were to pay off in the event of a CDO’s default.
And the bankers who sold these securities and swaps to others around the globe knew they were selling crap in a CDS crapper. They knew the ratings agencies models weren’t tracking the important variables inherent to the loans used in creating the CDOs they were selling. They knew because they were betting against them at the same time they were selling them.
So, what’s not to love?
Well, the fraud part isn’t that attractive, I suppose, but don’t be such a doom and gloomer.
So, our Wall Street bankers sold this scheme all over the planet taking in trillions of dollars and ultimately bankrupting the global financial system and costing hundreds of millions of working class citizens their savings, their livelihoods and their homes. And the profits AIG and the others on Wall Street booked never came true, although the bonuses that got paid out were very real.
On July 10, 2007, Moody’s and S&P downgraded the ratings on 1,032 bond issues, which was less than one percent of the bonds backed by sub-prime mortgages, but the percentage didn’t matter… investors panicked and ran for the exit door. If the ratings on these bonds were wrong, what about the rest… the ALT-A… the Option ARMS… the prime loans… everything was all of a sudden questionable, and within two weeks the credit markets froze solid… banks wouldn’t lend to each other. And the giant write downs began in earnest.
In residential mortgage land, all of a sudden no one could get a mortgage or refinance one. Housing prices, which had already started to cool off as a result of Greenspan having raised interest rates 17 times in a row as of the summer of 2006, now fell off a cliff and kept falling.
Our government just didn’t see what was happening. Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson, in his recently published book, writing about this moment in history, explains it this way:
“We were just wrong.”
And it may just be that no truer words have ever been spoken, because there’s no question that Mr. Paulson, Mr. Bernanke, Ms. Bair… and all who surrounded them were all monumentally and catastrophically wrong.
The dominoes were falling faster and faster and yet our government did almost nothing to prevent them from falling or even slow them down. As a result, the default rates on mortgage-back securities underwritten in 2005, 2006, and 2007 turned out to be many multiples higher than expected. There are instances in which the securities the bankers claimed to be rated triple A ended worth less than 15¢ on the dollar.
By the end of the calendar year, 2007, AIG reported an $11 billion charge to earnings and managed to raise the capital to cover it. But the writing was all over the walls, the floors, the ceilings, and even the windows. The credit markets were now broken, the days of being able to get a mortgage were over for tens of millions of Americans and as prices fell, defaults increased and the foreclosure crisis would soon be in full swing.
When AIG lost its triple A rating, it had to come up with tens of billions in collateral overnight, in addition to the amounts it owed its trading partners… and there was no way… AIG… the world’s largest insurance company… was bankrupt. Lehman fell the same day… Merrill Lynch was sold in a shotgun wedding to Bank of America. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley were forced to become commercial banks, able to borrow from the Federal Reserve’s discount window, among other things.
The Federal Government stepped in with an $85 billion loan for AIG in exchange for almost all of the equity in the company. AIG’s largest trading partner was Goldman Sachs, and so $20 billion in taxpayer dollars went directly from the people of this country to Goldman’s balance sheet… most of which to be paid out in bonuses over the next year or two. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, who was then heading up the New York Federal Reserve Bank, forced AIG to sign away their right to sue any of the major banks for most of what’s happened.
Because we can keep pointing fingers in all directions if it makes us feel better, but the Wall Street bankers who perpetrated this fraud on our world knew what they were doing as they did it. They did it because they became incredibly wealthy by doing it, simple as that.
The collapse of the market for credit default swaps also meant that the giants of the investment banking world – every last one of them, by the way – with no one to insure their debts, could no longer borrow. Without the CDS market, banks can’t report the real value of the assets (read: CDOs, CDSs, et al). To do so would render them all insolvent and in default with Basel II regulations. Absent AIG’s credit default swaps to provide fraudulent cover, all we can do is play accounting games and pretend that their assets are worth far more than they are actually worth.
The era of the Wall Street investment banker was over. Bankers had leveraged their organizations beyond all reason, meaning that they had borrowed 30:1 or 40:1… or as in the cases of Fannie and Freddie, a mind boggling 110:1 and 174:1, respectively. That means for every dollar the bank carried on it books as an asset, the banks had borrowed thirty or forty dollars. Accounting regulations had to be suspended lest the banks all be seen as insolvent.
Just to fund their operations, our TBTF banks are totally dependent on the Federal Reserve. In fact, things got so bad that the Fed had to change the long-standing rules so that Goldman, Morgan and Merrill could use equities as collateral for trillions in loans.
Additionally, a little known and almost never discussed provision of the TARP bailout bill says that the Fed can pay interest on the collateral it’s holding… a simple, but very effective and yet covert way to pump untold billions in taxpayer dollars directly into the banks without the need for congressional approval.
Without the government having taken these steps, however inadequate and transient, AIG’s failure would have likely led to the failure of every major bank in the world.
But there should be no question… the enabler of the global credit bubble of the last eight years was AIG unregulated selling of credit default swaps without collateralizing the risk. In 1998, there were so few Credit Default Swaps in play that they were hardly worth counting. By late 2009, between newly instituted processes allowing CDSs, which offset each other to be cancelled, combined with the termination of recently paid out contracts, the face value of the CDS market was reduced to an estimated $30 trillion.
And the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill that was signed into law last summer does nothing to address regulation of this volatile and dangerous market.
Seventy percent of the U.S. economy is driven by consumer spending, which has been driven by borrowing over the last ten years. Even if we wanted to do so, we can’t borrow our way back to prosperity this time around, however, because the credit markets are broken for good this time… because they were a fraud in the first place. Our economy has entered a downturn that, before it reverses itself, will force most of us to reduce our standard of living for many of not most of our remaining years. Some believe that foreign spending and spending by the very rich can bring us back, but the numbers just don’t prove out.
Meanwhile, our helpless, hapless, and perhaps hopeless government continues to treat this financial crisis like it’s a liquidity crisis… lowering interest rates and pumping cash into a failed and fraudulent system being run by the same men that brought us here.
Or maybe I’m wrong about all of this… maybe it was all simply the fault of irresponsible sub-prime borrowers who all went out and bought homes they couldn’t afford. Yeah, that must be right. Lower the rates again… extend the tax cuts… print some more dough and pump it into Wall Street’s banks… that’ll probably fix everything.
Mandelman out.
*1 According to the FAA’s Aviation Safety Statistical Fact Book, there are 16 fatalities per one million hours of general aviation, and according to the National Transportation Safety Board, of the airplane accidents that occurred between 1983-2000, 51,207 of the 53,487 of the affected passengers survived. Even if you only consider the 26 most serious airplane accidents during that period, 1,525 of the 2,739 passengers survived… that’s a 56% survival rate. And take out the Lockerbie crash, which wasn’t an accident, but rather a bomb planted by a terrorist, and the survival rate goes up to 61%. So, all told, you being killed in a plane crash is very unlikely.
Mandelman U. Presents: There’s Credit Default Swaps & then there’s Credit Default Swaps
Complexity We Eschew at Good Old…
Mandelman U.
Sit, Sulte, Simplex
In 1998, there were so few Credit Default Swaps in play that they were hardly worth counting. Not only were there a relatively small number of these credit derivatives being issued, but they essentially never paid off. That’s right. Issuing credit default swaps, at least as they were originally conceived and utilized, was risky like issuing flight insurance was risky.
So, what the heck happened to elevate credit default swaps to the status of global economy killer as they might rightfully be described today? Well, there are credit default swaps… and then there are credit default swaps.
The Set-Up…
Let’s start with this fact: banks are required to hold funds in reserve for future losses, and the amounts they reserve can not be invested to maximize return, so they want to hold as little in reserve as is permitted by what are called Basel II regulations. How much a bank is required to hold in reserve depends on what type of assets… read: loans… are on its balance sheets. The riskier the loans a bank owns, the more capital the bank must keep in reserve. But, additionally, riskier loans pay better.
If a bank has invested in a bunch of sub-prime mortgages, they have to reserve for some percentage of homeowners who default on their payments and/or pre-pay their mortgages, but if those mortgages are inside a triple A rated security, and if that security is “insured” by a credit default swap, then they don’t have to reserve anything for a future loss, because it doesn’t appear that there will be a future loss. Oh, and if the whole transaction can be handled off the bank’s balance sheet in the first place, such as inside an SIV or Special Investment Vehicle, that’s held off-shore… then so much the better.
How it all began…
Sometime in 1994, JPMorgan created the first credit default swap.
It seems that JPMorgan had provided Exxon with a $4.8 billion credit line, but Exxon was now facing $5 billion in punitive damages as a result of the Valdez catastrophe, so JPMorgan was required to reserve the funds for such a credit risk. To clean up their balance sheet, JPMorgan sold the credit risk involved in the Exxon credit line to a large European banking concern, and thereby reduced the amounts it was required to hold in reserve. It swapped the risk of $4.8 billion in extended credit defaulting.
It worked so well that, in 1997, JPMorgan created BISTRO, which stood for “Broad Index Securitized Trust Offering.” BISTRO was a proprietary product for JPMorgan that used CDSs to clean up a bank’s balance sheet, just like the bank had done for itself in the case of Exxon a few years back.
But, BISTRO actually used the securitization process to break up the credit risk into smaller pieces, which allowed smaller investors to get in the game… not everyone can take on a $4.8 billion risk… and in that sense BISTRO was the first “synthetic collateralized debt obligation” or synthetic CDO.
Don’t be discouraged if you’re not getting all that at the moment, hopefully I’ll straighten it all out in a minute or two.
Then, in 2003, best I can tell, Goldman Sachs convinced AIG to offer a credit default swap on a CDO… a collateralized debt obligation. You can think of a CDO as being a derivative of a mortgage-backed security.
Remember how we create mortgage-backed securities? We take a bunch of mortgages and put them into a pool and then we create a contract that prioritizes the payment streams into slices called tranches. The top is the safest tranche, it pays the lowest interest rate and is always rated triple A because it receives its payments before any other tranche. The middle tranche, called the mezzanine or “the mez,” if you’re that Wall-Street-cool, gets its payments after the top tranche has been filled, and it is rated BBB. The bottom tranche doesn’t get a nickel until the top two have been filled as expected, and it is often unrated, or in other words is like a junk bond. It offers the highest rate of interest, but also carries the greatest amount of risk.
Okay… still with me, right? If that last paragraph was confusing, you should probably go back and read another Mandelman U. article: Securitization and Mortgage-Backed Securities, which explains the securitization process and mortgage-backed securities thoroughly and in simple terms.
So, let’s say that we’ve sold all the triple A rated tranches and we’ve got a bunch of BBB rated stuff laying around. Well, if we… let’s call it… re-securitize all of the BBB tranches, we’ll end up with another top tranche that will again be rated triple A, another “mez” rated BBB, and another unrated bottom tranche. But notice that the first time we securitized the mortgages the payment streams that went into the tranches came directly from the mortgages in the pool. But this time, we re-securitized the BBB tranches from other securitizations, so we’re one step removed as compared with the first time around.
This time, for our triple A rated tranche to get a nickel, the top tranches in the first securitizations have to have been filled up with payment streams as expected. So, a CDO’s income isn’t based on payment streams from mortgages, rather it’s income is based on payment streams from securities whose incomes are based on mortgages.
So, Goldman Sachs convinces AIG to offer credit default swaps on triple A rated tranches of CDOs. I mean, why not? After all, the historical loss rates on American mortgages were damn near zero. And, thus was reborn the credit default swap… now tailor made for the mortgage boom that was fast bringing the U.S. economy out of the recession created by the bursting of the dot-com bubble a few years before.
Now, investors buy CDOs, which look great, because they are based on BBB rated tranches, so they pay higher interest than were it based on the triple A rated tranche, BUT… it’s re-securitized, if you will, so it has a new triple A rated tranche itself. And you can get a CDS so there’s no risk at all… load ‘em up. They look as safe as U.S. Treasury bonds, but they pay much higher interest rates, and have no risk of default as a result of the inexpensive CDS you added on top.
Oh, and these CDOs are hard to construct and value, so Wall Street investment bankers can make a bundle putting the deals together and selling them all over the world. In fact, almost no one on the planet can truly understand what they’re made up of, and what they’re worth… absolute heaven for Wall Street types.
(You see, it’s important to understand that the harder it is to value something, the more a Wall Street investment bank can charge to put the deal together and make a market for whatever it is. Just think of it as being the opposite of gold. Gold is a commodity that trades all over the world, so all you need to do is look up the price of gold today and there it is for all to see. So, Wall Street firms aren’t much interested in selling gold… too easy to price, get it?)
The most simplified example of a credit default swap would be issued as related to highly rated corporate bonds. Let’s say your Aunt passed away and left you $100,000. And you decided to put that $100,000 into a triple A rated Exxon-Mobil corporate bond, perhaps instead of a Treasury bill of some sort, because Exxon-Mobil was offering a slightly higher interest rate and since Exxon-Mobil is one of the world’s largest and most stable corporations, you saw the investment as being just about as safe as bonds issued by the U.S. Treasury.
But, just in case… because you didn’t want any risk whatsoever, you decided to buy a credit default swap, which in essence insured the investment you made in the Exxon-Mobil bond. If Exxon-Mobil defaulted on their obligation to pay you as promised, the company who issued the credit default swap would pay you what you were owed under the terms of the bond.
Of course, triple A rated corporate bonds, like those that might be issued by Exxon-Mobil, very rarely default… and by very rarely, I mean like never, so you probably wouldn’t need to insure against such an event, but that’s also why doing so wouldn’t be very expensive… very much like the flight insurance that you can buy before boarding a given flight.
The odds of that individual flight crashing and you being killed as a result are remote… very remote1. So, if you’ll pay something like $50, some insurance company will pay $1,000,000 if your flight crashes and you die as a result. A credit default swap issued on a triple A rated Exxon-Mobil corporate bond might be considered about that risky, and therefore it wouldn’t cost very much to buy.
For example, Michael Lewis, in his book “The Big Short,” quotes the cost of a credit default swap on a $100 million mortgage-backed security as being $200,000 a year for ten years. So, if you paid the annual premium for the entire ten years, you would have paid 2% of the insured amount. Two million to get you One hundred million… that’s 50:1… better than the odds when playing roulette.
Of course, you might not have paid for ten years before your bond or mortgage-backed security defaulted, so in that case your return would have been much greater. Like if you owned the credit default swap for one year, and as a result had only paid one $200,000 premium payment, then your return would be 500:1, right? Not too shabby, if you can get in on something like that, I’m sure you’d agree.
I’m not saying that’s exactly how today’s credit default swaps work because for one thing, they are only offered to institutional investors, and not on the bond you bought with money your Aunt bequeathed to you. But, as descriptions go, it’s not that far away either, so hopefully you’re getting the general idea.
You see, that’s what I mean when I say there were credit default swaps and then there were credit default swaps.
In my Exxon-Mobile example, the credit default swap was insuring against a single corporation defaulting, and in the “CDSs” of our current financial crisis and resulting mortgage meltdown, it was individual homeowners paying mortgages that could cause your bond or CDO (considered to be another derivative) to default. Also, in our Exxon-Mobile example, you owned the bond and in the recent fiasco, you didn’t need to own anything to buy the credit default swap “insurance,” and thereby place a bet against the bond paying off as agreed.
Bond insurance… sort of…
And that’s what a credit default swap is, really… bond insurance. But no one ever wanted to refer to it that way because they were afraid that the State Insurance Commissioners would want to regulate CDSs like they regulate all other forms of insurance, requiring the companies that sold CDSs to hold money in reserve against potential future claims.
Besides, it was argued, CDSs weren’t actually insurance, they just played insurance on T.V.
For example, the buyer of a CDS doesn’t have to own the underlying security that in a sense is being insured against default. In fact, the buyer doesn’t even have to suffer a loss as a result of the defaulting security in order to cash in on the CDS. That’s not very insurance like. And insurance companies manage risk using actuarial data and the law of large numbers to determine appropriate loss reserves, while the sellers of CDSs price them using financial models and attempt to hedge risk using other securities dealers and a variety of transactions in underlying bond markets.
So, since none of the companies that issued credit default swaps ever thought that they’d have to pay a claim related to the insurance they were selling, they didn’t tie up their cash in a reserve account when it could be invested elsewhere, and therefore earning returns. By referring to them as “swaps,” they were completely unregulated, falling under the Commodity Futures Modernization Act (“CFMA”), which was a statute passed in 2000, that removed swaps transactions from any and in fact essentially all substantive federal oversight.
The CFMA legislation was, it’s interesting to note, pretty much rushed through Congress during a lame duck session. It was a rider to an 11,000-page omnibus appropriations bill. So, I think one would have to say, very well done there.
And the end result is that credit default swaps remain entirely unregulated… even after this latest financial disaster, we’ve done nothing to change that, which is sort of like finding out the day after 9-11 happened that we are still allowing passengers to carry box cutters on commercial flights.
What the bankers did…
Okay, so you’re a European bank and you’ve got too many deposits because in your country people still save money, actually.. You’re looking for something to invest in that will help you increase the spread between the interest rates you pay people for their deposits, and the interest rates you’re able to earn by lending.
You need the safest thing you can find, at the highest possible rate of interest… a difficult balancing act for all of us, to be sure.
You could, of course, buy a bunch of triple A rated mortgage-backed securities based on sub-prime loans, but that would increase your reserve requirements, which would reduce the amount of cash you can invest and hence the amount of leverage (read: borrowing) you can employ.
But wait… maybe not. AIG is offering a way for you to have your cake and eat it too. Isn’t financial innovation wonderful?
With the AIG answer, you can forget the Basel II rules by using the unregulated insurance contract called a “credit default swap.” For let’s say 2% of face value, AIG agrees to guarantee the subprime mortgage-backed security you want to buy against default for five years.
As long as it maintained a triple-A credit rating, AIG didn’t have to put up any capital as collateral on its swaps. There was no real capital cost to selling them; there was no limit to the number that could be sold. Of course, as AIG’s credit rating fell, the company was required by its own contracts to post collateral… money… to ensure that it could pay off the claim in the event of a default. And that’s what buried AIG… collateral calls from the likes of Goldman Sachs and many others around the world.
And thanks to “mark-to-market” accounting, as described in FAS 157 and FAS 159, AIG could book the profits from a five-year credit default swap as soon as the contract was sold, based solely on the expected default rate. What the computer said AIG was likely to make on the deal, the accountants would write down as actual profit. The broker who sold the swap would be paid a bonus at the end of the first year – long before the actual profit on the contract was made.
The European bank was now able to assure its regulators that it was holding only triple-A credit securities, and certainly not a bunch of subprime loans given to people without jobs, income or assets. The bank could employ the maximum amount of leverage allowable under Basel II, and AIG could book hundreds of millions in “profit” each year, without having to pony up billions in collateral, or really even invest a dime of its capital.
They even started selling “synthetic CDOs,” which were collateralized debt obligations, but with only credit default swaps inside… no mortgage-backed securities at all… just the credit default swaps that were to pay off in the event of a CDO’s default.
And the bankers who sold these securities and swaps to others around the globe knew they were selling crap in a CDS crapper. They knew the ratings agencies models weren’t tracking the important variables inherent to the loans used in creating the CDOs they were selling. They knew because they were betting against them at the same time they were selling them.
So, what’s not to love?
Well, the fraud part isn’t that attractive, I suppose, but don’t be such a doom and gloomer.
So, our Wall Street bankers sold this scheme all over the planet taking in trillions of dollars and ultimately bankrupting the global financial system and costing hundreds of millions of working class citizens their savings, their livelihoods and their homes. And the profits AIG and the others on Wall Street booked never came true, although the bonuses that got paid out were very real.
On July 10, 2007, Moody’s and S&P downgraded the ratings on 1,032 bond issues, which was less than one percent of the bonds backed by sub-prime mortgages, but the percentage didn’t matter… investors panicked and ran for the exit door. If the ratings on these bonds were wrong, what about the rest… the ALT-A… the Option ARMS… the prime loans… everything was all of a sudden questionable, and within two weeks the credit markets froze solid… banks wouldn’t lend to each other. And the giant write downs began in earnest.
In residential mortgage land, all of a sudden no one could get a mortgage or refinance one. Housing prices, which had already started to cool off as a result of Greenspan having raised interest rates 17 times in a row as of the summer of 2006, now fell off a cliff and kept falling.
Our government just didn’t see what was happening. Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson, in his recently published book, writing about this moment in history, explains it this way:
“We were just wrong.”
And it may just be that no truer words have ever been spoken, because there’s no question that Mr. Paulson, Mr. Bernanke, Ms. Bair… and all who surrounded them were all monumentally and catastrophically wrong.
The dominoes were falling faster and faster and yet our government did almost nothing to prevent them from falling or even slow them down. As a result, the default rates on mortgage-back securities underwritten in 2005, 2006, and 2007 turned out to be many multiples higher than expected. There are instances in which the securities the bankers claimed to be rated triple A ended worth less than 15¢ on the dollar.
By the end of the calendar year, 2007, AIG reported an $11 billion charge to earnings and managed to raise the capital to cover it. But the writing was all over the walls, the floors, the ceilings, and even the windows. The credit markets were now broken, the days of being able to get a mortgage were over for tens of millions of Americans and as prices fell, defaults increased and the foreclosure crisis would soon be in full swing.
When AIG lost its triple A rating, it had to come up with tens of billions in collateral overnight, in addition to the amounts it owed its trading partners… and there was no way… AIG… the world’s largest insurance company… was bankrupt. Lehman fell the same day… Merrill Lynch was sold in a shotgun wedding to Bank of America. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley were forced to become commercial banks, able to borrow from the Federal Reserve’s discount window, among other things.
The Federal Government stepped in with an $85 billion loan for AIG in exchange for almost all of the equity in the company. AIG’s largest trading partner was Goldman Sachs, and so $20 billion in taxpayer dollars went directly from the people of this country to Goldman’s balance sheet… most of which to be paid out in bonuses over the next year or two. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, who was then heading up the New York Federal Reserve Bank, forced AIG to sign away their right to sue any of the major banks for most of what’s happened.
Because we can keep pointing fingers in all directions if it makes us feel better, but the Wall Street bankers who perpetrated this fraud on our world knew what they were doing as they did it. They did it because they became incredibly wealthy by doing it, simple as that.
The collapse of the market for credit default swaps also meant that the giants of the investment banking world – every last one of them, by the way – with no one to insure their debts, could no longer borrow. Without the CDS market, banks can’t report the real value of the assets (read: CDOs, CDSs, et al). To do so would render them all insolvent and in default with Basel II regulations. Absent AIG’s credit default swaps to provide fraudulent cover, all we can do is play accounting games and pretend that their assets are worth far more than they are actually worth.
The era of the Wall Street investment banker was over. Bankers had leveraged their organizations beyond all reason, meaning that they had borrowed 30:1 or 40:1… or as in the cases of Fannie and Freddie, a mind boggling 110:1 and 174:1, respectively. That means for every dollar the bank carried on it books as an asset, the banks had borrowed thirty or forty dollars. Accounting regulations had to be suspended lest the banks all be seen as insolvent.
Just to fund their operations, our TBTF banks are totally dependent on the Federal Reserve. In fact, things got so bad that the Fed had to change the long-standing rules so that Goldman, Morgan and Merrill could use equities as collateral for trillions in loans.
Additionally, a little known and almost never discussed provision of the TARP bailout bill says that the Fed can pay interest on the collateral it’s holding… a simple, but very effective and yet covert way to pump untold billions in taxpayer dollars directly into the banks without the need for congressional approval.
Without the government having taken these steps, however inadequate and transient, AIG’s failure would have likely led to the failure of every major bank in the world.
But there should be no question… the enabler of the global credit bubble of the last eight years was AIG unregulated selling of credit default swaps without collateralizing the risk. In 1998, there were so few Credit Default Swaps in play that they were hardly worth counting. By late 2009, between newly instituted processes allowing CDSs, which offset each other to be cancelled, combined with the termination of recently paid out contracts, the face value of the CDS market was reduced to an estimated $30 trillion.
And the Dodd-Frank financial reform bill that was signed into law last summer does nothing to address regulation of this volatile and dangerous market.
Seventy percent of the U.S. economy is driven by consumer spending, which has been driven by borrowing over the last ten years. Even if we wanted to do so, we can’t borrow our way back to prosperity this time around, however, because the credit markets are broken for good this time… because they were a fraud in the first place. Our economy has entered a downturn that, before it reverses itself, will force most of us to reduce our standard of living for many if not most of our remaining years. Some believe that foreign spending and spending by the very rich can bring us back, but the numbers just don’t prove out.
Meanwhile, our helpless, hapless, and perhaps hopeless government continues to treat this financial crisis like it’s a liquidity crisis… lowering interest rates and pumping cash into a failed and fraudulent system being run by the same men that brought us here.
Or maybe I’m wrong about all of this… maybe it was all simply the fault of irresponsible sub-prime borrowers who all went out and bought homes they couldn’t afford. Yeah, that must be right. Lower the rates again… extend the tax cuts… print some more dough and pump it into Wall Street’s banks… that’ll probably fix everything.
Mandelman out.
*1 According to the FAA’s Aviation Safety Statistical Fact Book, there are 16 fatalities per one million hours of general aviation, and according to the National Transportation Safety Board, of the airplane accidents that occurred between 1983-2000, 51,207 of the 53,487 of the affected passengers survived. Even if you only consider the 26 most serious airplane accidents during that period, 1,525 of the 2,739 passengers survived… that’s a 56% survival rate. And take out the Lockerbie crash, which wasn’t an accident, but rather a bomb planted by a terrorist, and the survival rate goes up to 61%. So, all told, you being killed in a plane crash is very unlikely.
The REST Report Matters at REST Report Matters
By now, I would think, most of my readers know that when homeowners ask me questions about today’s loan modification process, I tell them that, if it were me… and it certainly could be one day… I’d run a REST Report. In fact, I wouldn’t even consider applying for loan modification, without running my own REST Report, and assuming it was NPV positive, sending it to my mortgage servicer, along with the other documents required, to my mortgage servicer.
I say this without hesitation, because the REST Report has now been used by more than 1,000 homeowners facing foreclosure, and it is the only way, outside of a HAMP servicer, that you can know with certainty whether you qualify for a loan modification under the president’s HAMP program. And should the REST Report show that you do not qualify under HAMP, the report shows whether the NPV of other loan modification scenarios would cause the investor who holds your note to come out ahead financially as compared with foreclosure.
In point of fact, it’s the only tool or practice I’ve ever seen that’s made a consistent, measurable, and highly positive difference for homeowners, attempting to get their loans modified. Last year at this time, if someone asked for my advice on how to increase the odds that a servicer would ultimately modify a loan, I would have said “get a lawyer.” Now I respond to those inquiries, by saying, “get a REST Report.” You can always hire a lawyer later, should you feel the need.
There are law firms and individual attorneys stretching from coast-to-coast that offer the REST Report along side loan modification services, and in fact several have told me that they are no longer accept a new client until he or she has run the report, and that report shows a positive NPV as compared with the costs of foreclosure.’
Enter REST Report Matters…
Founded a few months ago, with offices in San Diego, California, REST Report Matters is the brainchild of partners, Michael Nazarinia and Charlie Rose. But even though it’s their vision and leadership that drives their organization forward each day, the pair has also made a special commitment to supporting the readers of Mandelman Matters.
For example, they invited me to their offices to provide three days of training to their staff, in addition to the extensive training they themselves offer, and that training not only covered the technical aspects of the REST platform, but also created a professional atmosphere designed to be more consultative than sales driven, according to Charlie. He wanted me to tell my readers that they should feel free to call REST Report Matters with questions anytime, without worrying that the person they speak with will be singularly focused on selling them something.
I’ve known Michael for about a year now. In his last position, his firm helped support my efforts to protect the rights of a homeowner to hire an attorney when at risk of foreclosure. He and I got along from the very first time we spoke on the phone, as I recall… you’ll find him to be smart, knowledgeable and caring. Like me, Michael is a lifetime learner, which I believe is a euphemism
for what we used to call a nerd, in my day.
The team at REST Report Matters also stands out in my mind, as many have worked with Charlie and Michael in past positions so there is a sense of shared purpose beyond what one would expect in a young company. Oh, and that’s the company that’s young, the staff… not so much, which I also like a great deal. Call me crazy, but I’m not sure I’d care much for talking about my mortgage with someone whose experience with mortgages consists of hearing about them from Mom & Dad, so no worries about that here. Charlie is actually pretty young… 30 years-old, I believe, and I although I usually don’t find myself in conversations with too many thirty year-olds, entirely by design actually, but Charlie’s certainly the exception. He’s quick to grasp the significance of new things, and I can’t imagine any homeowners not liking him and appreciating his candor right away.
But, I am perhaps most excited about a new password protected section of the firm’s site, that although still under construction as I write this, REST Report Matters is in the process of incorporating several unique features into their “clients only” Website that, soon will be capable of delivering a unique, technology-driven ongoing educational support and community component that I think homeowners will find both valuable and even enjoyable… to the extent that anything having to do with this topic can be considered enjoyable… perhaps stimulating is a better word in this instance.
I wouldn’t want to spoil anything that’s in development and only a few weeks away from the public launch, so suffice it to say that the suite of services the firm is developing are designed to fit together and complete the picture of what optimal support for working with the REST Report to get a loan modified should look like.
REST Report Matters is not a law firm, and as such they do not represent homeowners with their lenders and servicers, nor do they provide advice to homeowners, or in any sense offer comprehensive loan modification services. It’s just the REST Report, packaged with other important support tools and educational programs… delivered by the highly trained, compassionate professionals at REST Report Matters.
You can visit REST Report Matters here.
Or, call them at: 877-737-8440
And, as always, you can reach me for further discussions at mandelman@mac.com.
Mandelman Matters is a California Nonprofit Corpooration and does receive a small percentage of the revenue generated by sales of the REST Report.
However, you may be assured that it a very small percentage and nowhere near enough to get me to recommend something I wouldn’t be recommending regardless. If you want any additional details, including, email me and I’ll be happy to disclose anything and everything.
Because if I can’t disclose it, I don’t do it.
CHASE NOT DEALING IN GOOD FAITH WITH BORROWERS (SURPRISE)
It will come as no surprise to anyone following the foreclosure wars to know that the lenders absolutely do not want to modify loans or work with borrowers. One need look no further than the September Hamp Numbers for specific facts to back this up, but the bottom line is the servicers are taking billions in taxpayer dollars (dollars that Congress now admits they are not entitled to in some cases), but they are not working with the very taxpayers that are funding their effort. That’s heaping insult on top of injury on top of obscenity…but then who really cares right?
It’s bad enough that they’re not being dealt with fairly, but below is proof positive from a lender that they are going to be actively working behind the borrowers back.
Chase Waiver Request (redacted)
This is an absolute license to negotiate in bad faith, provide false hope while at the same time, work hard to achieve the ultimate goal (take the home). Anyone need anymore proof that there are perverse, hidden motives here and that the lenders are not interested in keeping borrowers in their homes?
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