News, Research & Insights for American Homeowners, Patriots & Constitutional Conservatives
Fade?
The Gallup trendlines don’t lie. That’s Newt in brown and Romney in black: Those are national numbers, not the numbers in all-important Iowa, but sneak a peek at the latest polls there in Pollster.com’s table. From the end of November through the first week of this month, Newt was above 30 percent in three separate [...]
Challenges.
A data point from today’s new national numbers showing Perry leading with 26 percent, Romney with 18, and Palin with eight. Et tu, tea partiers? A separate survey conducted by Mark Blumenthal of 151 GOP “power outsiders” (i.e. influential Republicans in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina) found that 81 percent of them also thought [...]
I have a lot of conversations with people about our economy, foreclosures and such… from clients to friends in business to attorneys. Everyone who’s asked me what I foresee coming I’ve told them that 2010 will be a very tough year and they better prepare now. We aren’t done yet folks… and the policies of the Obama Administration and our collective disaster we call Congress, are going to make things even worse – and very well will extend the recession quite painfully. I have told people to expect another wave of foreclosures. As long as you have no job creation and more job loss happening every day, this cycle won’t stop. It’s as simple as that.
And with that, I bring you fresh news…
08/20/2009 By: Carrie Bay
More than nine percent of all mortgages in the United States are now delinquent, according to figures released Thursday by the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA).
The delinquency rate for mortgage loans on one-to-four-unit residential properties rose to 9.24 percent of all loans outstanding at the end of the second quarter, MBA reported. The new number breaks the record set in the first quarter of this year, when 9.12 percent of the nation’s homeowners were behind on their mortgage payments.
Important to note is that the biggest jump in delinquencies last quarter came from prime fixed-rate mortgages. These seemingly low-risk loans also accounted for one in three of the nation’s foreclosure starts in Q2. A year ago they were only one in five.
Like prime, Federal Housing Administration loans are generally thought to be “safe,” but foreclosure starts among government-insured mortgages jumped to 9.1 percent last quarter – a record-high for the agency.
The states of California, Florida, Arizona, and Nevada continue to drag down the national numbers. These four had 44 percent of all the nation’s new foreclosures in Q2. Rhode Island, Georgia, and Michigan also posted foreclosure start rates above the national average. All
other states in the country fell below the national benchmark, and roughly half even saw their new foreclosure numbers decline.
But then, there’s the not-so-sunny Sunshine State. Florida has cemented itself as the worst state in the union for mortgage performance. Twelve percent of all mortgages there were somewhere in the process of foreclosure at the end of June, and another 5 percent were more than 90 days past due and about to cross that threshold. Based on MBA’s numbers, Florida has the highest foreclosure and delinquency rates in the country, and MBA’s chief economist, Jay Brinkmann, says he doesn’t expect to see a turnaround in Florida’s housing market for a long, long time.
Some fortunate regional markets are faring better and offsetting Florida’s bad numbers because the nation’s total foreclosure starts during the second quarter actually dropped slightly. Foreclosure actions were initiated on 1.36 percent of the nation’s outstanding mortgages, compared to 1.35 percent during the first three months of the year, MBA reported.
Despite the leveling off of foreclosure starts, the fact that loans 90 or more days past due continues to climb in all categories suggests an overhang of foreclosure activity and engorged inventories of repossessed homes may be looming in the coming months.
So, when is the foreclosure problem going to crest? Brinkmann, points out that unemployment is currently the primary driver behind missed mortgage payments.
The number of jobless Americans is forecast to peak in mid-2010, and Brinkmann says he expects delinquencies to top out at about the same time. But because of the lag time associated with foreclosure proceedings, he doesn’t see a break in the upward trend of foreclosures until six months later, at the close of next year.
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